Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ENS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-23 11.585754 13.014876 14.628050 16.599846 18.967025 21.746066 25.298691
2025-03-30 9.390670 11.103289 13.186676 15.956591 19.620412 24.419378 31.394710
2025-04-06 8.025100 9.790770 12.041328 15.201198 19.664549 25.985262 36.112480
2025-04-13 7.102495 8.871010 11.206480 14.628002 19.723231 27.425208 40.868426
2025-04-20 7.042995 9.052687 11.825616 16.113627 22.957961 34.269206 56.614640
2025-04-27 6.704196 8.798829 11.783790 16.592112 24.694049 39.092628 70.758165
2025-05-04 6.152823 8.184014 11.139721 16.030941 24.579637 40.561962 78.585403
2025-05-11 5.911884 7.994305 11.104271 16.428841 26.184766 45.696352 97.510858
2025-05-18 5.565529 7.615767 10.735840 16.213237 26.612088 48.527013 112.201525
2025-05-25 5.265909 7.283894 10.408199 16.021839 27.042505 51.475774 129.261060
2025-06-01 5.026418 7.026442 10.175897 15.967299 27.730348 55.225182 151.981450
2025-06-08 4.741669 6.678643 9.766221 15.540174 27.565815 56.819856 168.268432
2025-06-15 4.536172 6.454987 9.564867 15.516927 28.356607 61.433212 203.500160
2025-06-22 4.252740 6.089407 9.096464 14.934509 27.807772 62.210646 222.431988
2025-06-29 3.977362 5.721558 8.598939 14.245603 26.906444 61.715499 234.717750
2025-07-06 3.751201 5.422878 8.202999 13.722072 26.322422 62.062474 253.349652
2025-07-13 3.826914 5.627629 8.707938 15.077492 30.600444 80.096361 440.046608
2025-07-20 3.761727 5.589103 8.769097 15.513031 32.645885 91.727302 635.907380
2025-07-27 3.575936 5.333491 8.411660 15.002178 32.013919 92.516095 709.351125
2025-08-03 3.514389 5.289788 8.447203 15.364468 33.927774 105.269623 1068.733892
2025-08-10 3.388592 5.126899 8.245412 15.168201 34.172895 110.703669 1361.805257
2025-08-17 3.273597 4.977735 8.060885 14.993887 34.458015 116.630641 1780.306778
2025-08-24 3.179987 4.862303 7.934744 14.944201 35.130305 125.176197 2542.083515